EXCLUSIVE: Nvidia Keeps AI Profits, TSMC May Want a Bigger Cut
Nvidia captures huge AI chip profits, but MarketVector’s Josh Kaplan sees foundries such as TSMC gaining a bigger share of the economics.
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Three sectors are higher and eight are lower in Thursday’s regular session, with growth, cyclical and defensive sectors each represented among the top three. The leaders are separated rather than
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Nvidia captures huge AI chip profits, but MarketVector’s Josh Kaplan sees foundries such as TSMC gaining a bigger share of the economics.
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) shares drop amid China scrutiny. Read key technical levels, analyst ratings, and price targets.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) is positioned as a low-risk, high-reward AI investment due to its dominant 72.5% market share in chip fabrication and irreplaceable manufacturing capacity. With massive capital investments ($265 billion for Arizona facilities) and projected AI spending growth to $3-4 trillion by 2030, TSMC is well-positioned to benefit from AI demand regardless of which specific chip designers lead the market. The stock trades at reasonable valuations of 26x forward earnings.
Caterpillar delivered one of its strongest quarters, with Q2 2026 revenue up 24% to $20.5 billion and a record $72 billion backlog driven by AI infrastructure demand. The company's EPS reached $7.77, and analysts project significant upside with an average price target of $975 versus the current $803 price. However, the trailing P/E ratio above 35 reflects elevated valuation, though justified by multiyear demand visibility and reduced cyclicality.
U.S. stock markets declined for a second consecutive day as Treasury yields reached multidecade highs and geopolitical tensions drove oil prices up. The Nasdaq fell 0.8%, the Dow 0.6%, and the S&P 500 0.5%. Oracle's data center project faced delays due to power supply issues, while Meta gained on AI optimism. The U.S. and China extended their trade truce by only two months instead of the three years China sought.
The article compares two industrial stocks: Caterpillar, a construction and mining equipment leader with $67.6B in FY2025 revenue and $7.5B in free cash flow, and Corning, a materials science company with $15.6B in revenue growing 19.1% driven by AI infrastructure demand. While Caterpillar offers better valuation metrics (Forward P/E of 29.7x vs 45.7x), Corning benefits from AI tailwinds. Both stocks trade above historical averages, making them premium-priced choices for industrial investors.