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Aswath Damodaran breaks down 2026 AI capex: rising cash burn, tech shifting to heavy assets, and 4 paths for stock investors.
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Oracle is positioned as an attractive cloud computing investment alternative to Alphabet and Microsoft, with its cloud infrastructure business growing 121% and a record $664 billion backlog. However, heavy data center spending has pushed free cash flow negative, raising questions about whether Oracle can convert its customer commitments into sufficient profits.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/10/16/anthropic-ai-safety-01124654
Apple has maintained its position as one of the world's most valuable companies at $5 trillion market cap, trailing only Nvidia. Despite taking a cautious approach to AI infrastructure spending compared to competitors, Apple's strong ecosystem, brand recognition, and iPhone dominance have enabled it to generate exceptional free cash flow of $110 billion while remaining competitive. The article argues Apple's economic moat is wider than perceived and the company can afford to integrate AI gradually without rushing.
D.A. Davidson reiterates Buy on U.S. Bancorp (USB) with a $73 target, citing strong Q3 earnings, margin growth, and its Amazon deal.
TSMC is positioned for strong growth through 2030, with analysts expecting 46% revenue growth and 66% EPS growth in 2026, followed by 32% and 31% CAGRs respectively through 2028. The article projects a $1,000 investment could grow to over $3,000 by late 2030 if the company meets expectations and trades at 20x forward earnings, driven by AI and cloud infrastructure demand. However, risks include Taiwan-China tensions, costly overseas expansion, and potential AI spending slowdowns.
The iShares Semiconductor ETF is on a nine-session losing run unseen since May 2006, as the KOSPI posts its worst week since 2008, optical names suffer dot-com-era drops and Bank of America sees a Cisco echo.