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Trump Went to War Convinced Iran Would 'Fold Really Quickly,' New Book Claims. Polymarket Prices a Ground Invasion at 27%

BenzingaJul 21, 2026, 3:27 PMDaragh Thomas

A new book claims Trump went to war expecting Iran to fold fast. Five months in, Polymarket traders price a US ground invasion at 27%.

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Source
benzinga
Observed
Jul 21, 2026, 3:27 PM
Checked
Jul 21, 2026, 3:27 PM
Cadence
Captured once, then retained as an archive reference
Status
fresh

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